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> So actually defeating Trump in a Republican primary contest would be //quite/ difficult, based on what we know now. > >But if Hogan’s goal is to win a substantial share of the vote while making the case for a [[ https://thehill.com/hilltv/rising/419826-never-trump-conservative-calls-gop-existential-threat-to-us | different kind ]] of Republicanism, that [[ https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-would-it-take-for-trump-to-get-primaried/ | seems more attainable ]]. National polls find Trump in [[ https://harvardharrispoll.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/12/HHP_November2018_RegisteredVoters-Topline.pdf | reasonably ]] [[ https://scottrasmussen.com/crosstabs-jan-4-5/ | good ]] [[ http://mclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2018/12/National-Monthly-Omnibus-December-1.pdf | shape ]] against potential primary foes, but surveys suggest that [[ https://scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1016&context=survey_center_polls | at least ]] [[ https://docs.google.com/document/d/1Z1lbFrjnIBmYZxWLZkzo_1nVg3uTRLcerSSauihlLdM/edit | some Republicans ]] in the early primary states of New Hampshire and Iowa might [[ https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2018/12/17/trump-iowa-republicans-2020-election-white-house-democrats-campaign-romney-sasse-rubio-kasich-flake/2312476002/ | be open to alternatives ]]. --[[ https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/does-larry-hogan-have-a-shot-against-trump-in-a-2020-gop-primary/ | Geoffrey Skelley, "Does Larry Hogan have a shot against Trump in a 2020 GOP Primary?", FiveThirtyEight ]]

>In 1974, Rep. Lawrence Hogan Sr. [[ https://www.washingtonpost.com/national/lawrence-j-hogan-sr-md-republican-who-called-for-nixons-impeachment-dies-at-88/2017/04/20/80fe7f5c-251e-11e7-a1b3-faff0034e2de_story.html?noredirect=on&utm_term=.4533dac660e5 | became the first ]] Republican member of the House Judiciary Committee to call for President Richard Nixon’s impeachment. Now there’s [[ https://www.politico.com/story/2019/01/18/larry-hogan-donald-trump-2020-election-1110535 | speculation ]] in Washington that his son, Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan, might challenge President Trump in the 2020 Republican presidential primary . . . > > . . . actually defeating Trump in a Republican primary contest would be //quite// difficult, based on what we know now. > >But if Hogan’s goal is to win a substantial share of the vote while making the case for a [[ https://thehill.com/hilltv/rising/419826-never-trump-conservative-calls-gop-existential-threat-to-us | different kind ]] of Republicanism, that [[ https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-would-it-take-for-trump-to-get-primaried/ | seems more attainable ]]. National polls find Trump in [[ https://harvardharrispoll.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/12/HHP_November2018_RegisteredVoters-Topline.pdf | reasonably ]] [[ https://scottrasmussen.com/crosstabs-jan-4-5/ | good ]] [[ http://mclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2018/12/National-Monthly-Omnibus-December-1.pdf | shape ]] against potential primary foes, but surveys suggest that [[ https://scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1016&context=survey_center_polls | at least ]] [[ https://docs.google.com/document/d/1Z1lbFrjnIBmYZxWLZkzo_1nVg3uTRLcerSSauihlLdM/edit | some Republicans ]] in the early primary states of New Hampshire and Iowa might [[ https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2018/12/17/trump-iowa-republicans-2020-election-white-house-democrats-campaign-romney-sasse-rubio-kasich-flake/2312476002/ | be open to alternatives ]]. --[[ https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/does-larry-hogan-have-a-shot-against-trump-in-a-2020-gop-primary/ | Geoffrey Skelley, "Does Larry Hogan have a shot against Trump in a 2020 GOP Primary?", FiveThirtyEight ]]

>In 1974, Rep. Lawrence Hogan Sr. [[ https://www.washingtonpost.com/national/lawrence-j-hogan-sr-md-republican-who-called-for-nixons-impeachment-dies-at-88/2017/04/20/80fe7f5c-251e-11e7-a1b3-faff0034e2de_story.html?noredirect=on&utm_term=.4533dac660e5 | became the first ]] Republican member of the House Judiciary Committee to call for President Richard Nixon’s impeachment. Now there’s [[ https://www.politico.com/story/2019/01/18/larry-hogan-donald-trump-2020-election-1110535 | speculation ]] in Washington that his son, Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan, might challenge President Trump in the 2020 Republican presidential primary . . . > > . . . So actually defeating Trump in a Republican primary contest would be //quite// difficult, based on what we know now. > >But if Hogan’s goal is to win a substantial share of the vote while making the case for a [[ https://thehill.com/hilltv/rising/419826-never-trump-conservative-calls-gop-existential-threat-to-us | different kind ]] of Republicanism, that [[ https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-would-it-take-for-trump-to-get-primaried/ | seems more attainable ]]. National polls find Trump in [[ https://harvardharrispoll.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/12/HHP_November2018_RegisteredVoters-Topline.pdf | reasonably ]] [[ https://scottrasmussen.com/crosstabs-jan-4-5/ | good ]] [[ http://mclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-content/uploads/2018/12/National-Monthly-Omnibus-December-1.pdf | shape ]] against potential primary foes, but surveys suggest that [[ https://scholars.unh.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1016&context=survey_center_polls | at least ]] [[ https://docs.google.com/document/d/1Z1lbFrjnIBmYZxWLZkzo_1nVg3uTRLcerSSauihlLdM/edit | some Republicans ]] in the early primary states of New Hampshire and Iowa might [[ https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2018/12/17/trump-iowa-republicans-2020-election-white-house-democrats-campaign-romney-sasse-rubio-kasich-flake/2312476002/ | be open to alternatives ]]. --[[ https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/does-larry-hogan-have-a-shot-against-trump-in-a-2020-gop-primary/ | Geoffrey Skelley, "Does Larry Hogan have a shot against Trump in a 2020 GOP Primary?", FiveThirtyEight ]]